Finland 26/27 Regular Season Final Sun 04 Oct 2026 810 spectators
P1 2:2 P2 0:2 P3 1:0

Pre-game win probability

21% OLS
vs
79% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (OLS 1521, Oilers 1795) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 54% of this season's games
OLS 02:03 1:0 Kalle Lintala07:24 1:1 Miska Mäkinen11:16 2:1 Eemil Ylitalo12:18 2:2 Elias Pekari33:13 2:3 Santeri Lindfors36:47 2:4 Miska Mäkinen59:39 3:4 Eetu Ijäs Oilers
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 Oilers
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 11:16 2:1 Eemil Ylitalo (OLS) OLS's win chance 21% → 31%
  2. 12:18 2:2 Elias Pekari (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 68% → 79%
  3. 33:13 2:3 Santeri Lindfors (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 72% → 84%

The line shows OLS's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
0Power play goals0
3Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played4
5Points12
1.25Points per Game (PPG)3.0
1Wins4
1Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 0
2 OT/PS Losses 0
5.0Goals per Game (GPG)11.50
5.25Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.25
-0.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)8.25
2.25Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.25
1.75Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.25

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L Last 5 games W W W W
1.25Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-0.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)8.25

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)10.0
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)88.89
22.22Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)42.86