Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 26 Nov 2025 487 spectators
P1 2:0 P2 1:1 P3 3:1

Pre-game win probability

48% TPS
vs
52% EräViikingit

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1400, EräViikingit 1458) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 63% of this season's games
TPS 11:56 1:0 Alex Eklund17:28 2:0 Alvar Jauria34:03 3:0 Alex Eklund36:53 3:1 Juuso Möttönen42:10 3:2 Benjamin Tenhonen46:36 4:2 Alex Eklund52:53 5:2 Aatu Koivisto54:28 6:2 Nikolas Saarinen EräViikingit
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
4 TPS
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 11:56 1:0 Alex Eklund (TPS) TPS's win chance 48% → 61%
  2. 42:10 3:2 Benjamin Tenhonen (EräViikingit) EräViikingit's win chance 16% → 31%
  3. 46:36 4:2 Alex Eklund (TPS) TPS's win chance 72% → 87%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against EräViikingit's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

25.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 75.0

Penalties

2 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills4
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes4
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
12Games played13
11Points18
0.92Points per Game (PPG)1.38
3Wins4
8Losses5
1 OT/PS Wins 2
0 OT/PS Losses 2
3.25Goals per Game (GPG)4.62
5.67Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.15
-2.42Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.54
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L W Last 5 games W L W W L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.60
-1.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.40Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.40
30.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)83.33
85.71Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)20.0