Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Mon 05 Jan 2026 622 spectators
P1 0:0 P2 0:3 P3 3:0 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

48% TPS
vs
52% EräViikingit

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1417, EräViikingit 1474) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 80% of this season's games
TPS 21:51 0:1 Juuso Möttönen25:57 0:2 Daniel Tenhonen29:22 0:3 Ville Heiska43:44 1:3 Oskari Viitikka46:29 2:3 Eetu Lehtonen55:39 3:3 Oskari ViitikkaOT 00:42 3:4 Juuso Möttönen EräViikingit
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 EräViikingit
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 46:29 2:3 Eetu Lehtonen (TPS) TPS's win chance 12% → 27%
  2. 55:39 3:3 Oskari Viitikka (TPS) TPS's win chance 18% → 49%
  3. OT 00:42 3:4 Juuso Möttönen (EräViikingit) EräViikingit's win chance 51% → 100%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against EräViikingit's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
19Games played20
22Points26
1.16Points per Game (PPG)1.30
6Wins6
11Losses9
2 OT/PS Wins 3
0 OT/PS Losses 2
3.74Goals per Game (GPG)4.50
5.89Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.25
-2.16Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.75
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.60
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L W W Last 5 games L L W W W
1.60Points per Game (PPG)1.60
-1.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)1.67
-1.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.33
70.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)53.33
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0