Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 05 Dec 2025 606 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 2:2 P3 4:0

Pre-game win probability

85% TPS
vs
15% FBC Turku

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1434, FBC Turku 1174) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 43% of this season's games
TPS 11:25 1:0 verneri Tuononen23:20 1:1 Juuso Forsman29:42 2:1 Valtteri Molkka31:29 2:2 Matias Kallio39:37 3:2 Kasper Kulmala42:18 4:2 Kasper Kulmala45:56 5:2 Kasper Kulmala56:06 6:2 verneri Tuononen58:56 7:2 Eetu Lehtonen FBC Turku
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
5 TPS
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 29:42 2:1 Valtteri Molkka (TPS) TPS's win chance 79% → 88%
  2. 31:29 2:2 Matias Kallio (FBC Turku) FBC Turku's win chance 12% → 21%
  3. 39:37 3:2 Kasper Kulmala (TPS) TPS's win chance 76% → 87%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against FBC Turku's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays2
2Power play goals1
2Penalty kills4
1Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead0
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes4
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
14Games played14
14Points5
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.36
4Wins1
9Losses12
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
3.57Goals per Game (GPG)2.93
5.86Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.29
-2.29Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.36
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W W L Last 5 games L L L L L
1.80Points per Game (PPG)0.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.83Points per Game (PPG)0.50
-2.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.83
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)30.0
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)42.86