Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Fri 09 Jan 2026 540 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 2:1 P3 0:0 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

66% TPS
vs
34% Hawks

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1414, Hawks 1346) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 71% of this season's games
TPS 06:42 0:1 Luukas Huolman21:20 1:1 Alvar Jauria27:09 1:2 Emil Kallio38:39 2:2 Elias HaatajaOT 02:29 3:2 Aatu Koivisto Hawks
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
1 TPS
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 27:09 1:2 Emil Kallio (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 37% → 53%
  2. 38:39 2:2 Elias Haataja (TPS) TPS's win chance 41% → 61%
  3. OT 02:29 3:2 Aatu Koivisto (TPS) TPS's win chance 56% → 100%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against Hawks's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills4
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes1
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
20Games played20
23Points18
1.15Points per Game (PPG)0.90
6Wins4
11Losses10
2 OT/PS Wins 0
1 OT/PS Losses 6
3.70Goals per Game (GPG)3.10
5.80Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.85
-2.10Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.75
0.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W W L Last 5 games L W L L L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.0
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.55
-1.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.45
62.50Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)33.33
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)54.55