Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 29 Oct 2025 496 spectators
P1 0:3 P2 2:0 P3 0:3

Pre-game win probability

24% TPS
vs
76% Indians

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1385, Indians 1634) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 36% of this season's games
TPS 04:49 0:1 Jere Niemelä07:06 0:2 Tatu Havula12:01 0:3 Samuli Junnila30:27 1:3 Alex Eklund31:52 2:3 Veikko Paajanen57:28 2:4 Tuomas Harjula59:16 2:5 Samuli Junnila59:43 2:6 Samuli Junnila Indians
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
4 Indians
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 04:49 0:1 Jere Niemelä (Indians) Indians's win chance 78% → 86%
  2. 31:52 2:3 Veikko Paajanen (TPS) TPS's win chance 10% → 17%
  3. 57:28 2:4 Tuomas Harjula (Indians) Indians's win chance 91% → 98%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against Indians's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills3
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
7Games played9
5Points23
0.71Points per Game (PPG)2.56
1Wins7
5Losses1
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
2.57Goals per Game (GPG)6.0
5.43Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.67
-2.86Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.33
2.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
1.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L L Last 5 games W W W L W
0.60Points per Game (PPG)2.40
-4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.67Points per Game (PPG)2.40
-2.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.60
14.29Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
36.36Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)55.56