Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 13 Mar 2026 459 spectators
P1 3:1 P2 0:0 P3 3:3

Pre-game win probability

82% TPS
vs
18% Jymy

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1484, Jymy 1262) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 45% of this season's games
TPS 02:16 0:1 Viljami Järvikangas09:47 1:1 Alex Eklund16:58 2:1 Nikolas Saarinen17:31 3:1 Kasper Kulmala48:17 4:1 Elias Haataja50:27 4:2 Unknown51:19 5:2 Veikko Paajanen56:00 5:3 Oskari Tenho56:12 5:4 Karri Vaarala59:16 6:4 Matias Koski Jymy
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 TPS
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 02:16 0:1 Viljami Järvikangas (Jymy) Jymy's win chance 15% → 23%
  2. 09:47 1:1 Alex Eklund (TPS) TPS's win chance 74% → 83%
  3. 56:12 5:4 Karri Vaarala (Jymy) Jymy's win chance 2% → 9%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against Jymy's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / n.a.

Penalties

2 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays2
0Power play goals1
2Penalty kills0
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
30Games played29
41Points17
1.37Points per Game (PPG)0.59
11Wins5
14Losses23
3 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 0
4.0Goals per Game (GPG)4.34
5.50Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.69
-1.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.34
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W L W Last 5 games L L L W L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)0.60
1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.20Points per Game (PPG)0.23
-1.13Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.38
46.15Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)20.0
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)16.67