Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 21 Feb 2026 478 spectators
P1 2:1 P2 1:1 P3 0:3

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 13%
87% TPS
vs
13% LASB

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1526, LASB 1236) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 75% of this season's games
TPS 05:20 0:1 Jere Sulander14:47 1:1 Elias Haataja18:52 2:1 Valtteri Molkka20:58 2:2 Perttu Koljonen32:59 3:2 Eero Jalo40:42 3:3 Sami Salminen55:45 3:4 Peetu Rantala58:50 3:5 Roni Laasonen LASB
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 LASB
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 40:42 3:3 Sami Salminen (LASB) LASB's win chance 12% → 23%
  2. 55:45 3:4 Peetu Rantala (LASB) LASB's win chance 30% → 66%
  3. 58:50 3:5 Roni Laasonen (LASB) LASB's win chance 80% → 97%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against LASB's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 50.0

Penalties

0 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays0
2Power play goals0
0Penalty kills4
0Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead2
1Equalizers2
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes4
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
28Games played28
38Points12
1.36Points per Game (PPG)0.43
10Wins3
13Losses23
3 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 1
4.0Goals per Game (GPG)3.21
5.57Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.54
-1.57Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.32
2.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W W W Last 5 games L L L L L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)0.0
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.15Points per Game (PPG)0.43
-1.23Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.43
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)16.67
63.64Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)60.0