Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Mon 19 Jan 2026 388 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 3:2 P3 1:1 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

14% TPS
vs
86% Nokian KrP

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1402, Nokian KrP 1761) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 88% of this season's games
TPS 13:44 0:1 Mikko Laakso15:53 1:1 Kasper Kulmala19:47 1:2 Joonatan Kovanen20:33 2:2 Veikko Paajanen21:12 3:2 verneri Tuononen23:31 3:3 Nico Jonaeson31:23 3:4 Valtteri Viitakoski34:28 4:4 Kasper Kulmala47:17 5:4 Unknown51:42 5:5 Joona RantalaOT 01:02 5:6 Joonatan Kovanen Nokian KrP
Lead changes
4
Ties
5
Largest lead
1 TPS
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 47:17 5:4 Unknown (TPS) TPS's win chance 27% → 50%
  2. 51:42 5:5 Joona Rantala (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 43% → 71%
  3. OT 01:02 5:6 Joonatan Kovanen (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 67% → 100%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against Nokian KrP's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 100.0

Penalties

0 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead4
3Equalizers2
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
22Games played22
25Points51
1.14Points per Game (PPG)2.32
6Wins16
12Losses4
3 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 1
3.64Goals per Game (GPG)7.23
5.82Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.95
-2.18Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.27
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W L Last 5 games L W W W W
1.60Points per Game (PPG)2.40
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.10Points per Game (PPG)2.33
-1.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.78
22.22Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
40.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)58.33