Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 12 Nov 2025 466 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 0:3 P3 1:6

Pre-game win probability

16% TPS
vs
84% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1366, Oilers 1704) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 35% of this season's games
TPS 05:00 1:0 Elias Haataja08:18 1:1 Eetu Sorvali23:48 1:2 Jasper Auvinen26:53 1:3 Markus Salmi27:34 1:4 Markus Markkola41:43 1:5 Markus Markkola44:21 2:5 Oskari Viitikka44:52 2:6 Jasper Auvinen47:38 2:7 Tuomas Iiskola50:20 2:8 Joona Hokkanen50:32 2:9 Markus Markkola52:35 2:10 Olli Wikstedt Oilers
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
8 Oilers
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 05:00 1:0 Elias Haataja (TPS) TPS's win chance 14% → 21%
  2. 08:18 1:1 Eetu Sorvali (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 78% → 85%
  3. 23:48 1:2 Jasper Auvinen (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 81% → 88%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills3
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
8Games played12
5Points29
0.62Points per Game (PPG)2.42
1Wins9
6Losses2
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
2.50Goals per Game (GPG)7.33
5.50Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.67
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.67
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
1.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games W W L W W
0.0Points per Game (PPG)2.20
-5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.50Points per Game (PPG)2.50
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.17
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)62.50
41.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)57.14