Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Thu 25 Sep 2025 722 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 1:1 P3 1:3

Pre-game win probability

41% TPS
vs
59% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1508, Oilers 1617) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 68% of this season's games
TPS 16:35 0:1 Olli Jokela26:58 1:1 Alex Eklund31:00 1:2 Arttu Haapala42:59 2:2 Alex Eklund47:20 2:3 Waltteri Vesterinen49:44 2:4 Tuomas Iiskola58:37 2:5 Elias Pekari Oilers
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 Oilers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 31:00 1:2 Arttu Haapala (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 57% → 72%
  2. 42:59 2:2 Alex Eklund (TPS) TPS's win chance 25% → 44%
  3. 47:20 2:3 Waltteri Vesterinen (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 55% → 77%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead3
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
3Games played3
5Points9
1.67Points per Game (PPG)3.0
1Wins3
1Losses0
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.33Goals per Game (GPG)7.33
4.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)2.33
0.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.0
1.33Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.33
0.33Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.33

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W Last 5 games W W W
1.67Points per Game (PPG)3.0
0.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)7.0
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0