Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 08 Mar 2026 412 spectators
P1 0:2 P2 2:1 P3 3:1

Pre-game win probability

45% TPS
vs
55% OLS

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1462, OLS 1540) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 87% of this season's games
TPS 06:03 0:1 Roope Okkonen08:16 0:2 Kimi Vänttilä28:18 1:2 Alex Eklund34:55 2:2 Veikko Paajanen35:42 2:3 Aaro Haverinen48:26 3:3 Veikko Paajanen52:53 4:3 Alex Eklund56:47 5:3 Alex Eklund58:58 5:4 Riku Ruonakangas OLS
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 TPS
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 35:42 2:3 Aaro Haverinen (OLS) OLS's win chance 53% → 70%
  2. 48:26 3:3 Veikko Paajanen (TPS) TPS's win chance 24% → 47%
  3. 52:53 4:3 Alex Eklund (TPS) TPS's win chance 48% → 76%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against OLS's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalties

0 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays0
1Power play goals0
0Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
29Games played28
38Points47
1.31Points per Game (PPG)1.68
10Wins13
14Losses10
3 OT/PS Wins 3
2 OT/PS Losses 2
3.97Goals per Game (GPG)5.32
5.55Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.18
-1.59Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.14
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.80
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W L Last 5 games L L W L W
2.40Points per Game (PPG)1.0
1.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.07Points per Game (PPG)1.21
-1.29Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.93
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)11.11