25/26 Regular Season Final · PS Sun 18 Jan 2026 160 spectators
P1 4:2 P2 0:0 P3 0:2 OT 0:0PS 1:0

Pre-game win probability

59% MFBC Leipzig
vs
41% SSF Dragons Bonn

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (MFBC Leipzig 1603, SSF Dragons Bonn 1584) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 55% of this season's games
MFBC Leipzig 02:16 1:0 Philip Richter05:37 2:0 Arian Trützschler09:33 3:0 Tuomas Saikkonen10:25 3:1 Mikael Kiukkonen11:53 3:2 Topias Ruisla15:21 4:2 Iven Teßmann45:38 4:3 Justin Obojiagbe54:43 4:4 Florian Weißkirchen SSF Dragons Bonn
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 MFBC Leipzig
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 02:16 1:0 Philip Richter (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 60% → 71%
  2. 45:38 4:3 Justin Obojiagbe (SSF Dragons Bonn) SSF Dragons Bonn's win chance 11% → 24%
  3. 54:43 4:4 Florian Weißkirchen (SSF Dragons Bonn) SSF Dragons Bonn's win chance 17% → 46%

The line shows MFBC Leipzig's chance to win (top) against SSF Dragons Bonn's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 33.33

Penalty kill efficiency

66.67 / n.a.

Penalties

3 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

1-0 / 0-1

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays3
0Power play goals1
3Penalty kills0
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
110 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
13Games played13
29Points25
2.23Points per Game (PPG)1.92
9Wins7
3Losses3
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 2
5.23Goals per Game (GPG)6.62
4.54Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.62
0.69Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.0
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games W W W W L
2.80Points per Game (PPG)2.40
2.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.57Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0.71Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.80
40.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)80.0
44.44Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)30.0