Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 11 Jan 2026 945 spectators
P1 2:2 P2 3:1 P3 4:3

Pre-game win probability

55% Classic
vs
45% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Classic 1731, Oilers 1739) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 73% of this season's games
Classic 02:55 0:1 Arttu Haapala07:03 0:2 Markus Salmi10:49 1:2 Eemeli Salin12:48 2:2 Eemeli Salin23:07 3:2 Ville Lastikka26:47 4:2 Oskari Heikkilä33:49 4:3 Perttu Järvinen35:28 5:3 Ville Lastikka41:40 6:3 Otto Kilpi45:11 7:3 Ville Lastikka51:25 7:4 Eetu Sorvali52:06 8:4 Oskari Heikkilä52:32 8:5 Markus Salmi54:13 9:5 Alpo Laitila56:36 9:6 Markus Salmi Oilers
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 Classic
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 12:48 2:2 Eemeli Salin (Classic) Classic's win chance 42% → 55%
  2. 23:07 3:2 Ville Lastikka (Classic) Classic's win chance 55% → 69%
  3. 35:28 5:3 Ville Lastikka (Classic) Classic's win chance 71% → 83%

The line shows Classic's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 50.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
1Power play goals1
1Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
21Games played21
49Points53
2.33Points per Game (PPG)2.52
15Wins17
3Losses3
1 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 0
7.67Goals per Game (GPG)8.0
3.86Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.71
3.81Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.29
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W W L Last 5 games W W W W L
2.0Points per Game (PPG)2.40
2.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.67Points per Game (PPG)2.45
5.11Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.45
37.50Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)62.50
85.71Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)42.86