Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Wed 12 Nov 2025 807 spectators
Nokian KrP Home
6:7
SPV Away
P1 2:1 P2 2:3 P3 2:2 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

53% Nokian KrP
vs
47% SPV

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nokian KrP 1661, SPV 1685) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 96% of this season's games
Nokian KrP 02:14 1:0 Kim Hyrkkönen10:51 2:0 Valte Karvonen12:59 2:1 Eero Karjanlahti20:42 3:1 Mikko Laakso22:52 3:2 Eemeli Karjanlahti23:48 4:2 Joona Rantala32:30 4:3 Riku Hakanen38:42 4:4 Arttu Honkonen43:49 5:4 Joona Rantala54:32 6:4 Juuso Ahola56:50 6:5 Peter Kotilainen57:16 6:6 Eemeli KarjanlahtiOT 05:00 6:7 Unknown SPV
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 Nokian KrP
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 43:49 5:4 Joona Rantala (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 52% → 72%
  2. 57:16 6:6 Eemeli Karjanlahti (SPV) SPV's win chance 14% → 49%
  3. OT 05:00 6:7 Unknown (SPV) SPV's win chance 49% → 100%

The line shows Nokian KrP's chance to win (top) against SPV's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
10Games played12
21Points29
2.10Points per Game (PPG)2.42
7Wins9
3Losses2
0 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
6.90Goals per Game (GPG)6.17
4.20Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.50
2.70Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.67
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L W W W W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)2.40
5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.80Points per Game (PPG)2.50
2.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.33
69.23Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)83.33
63.64Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)44.44