Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 18 Mar 2026 1100 spectators
P1 2:2 P2 2:3 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

41% Oilers
vs
59% Classic

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Oilers 1744, Classic 1855) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 81% of this season's games
Oilers 07:34 1:0 Markus Salmi12:37 1:1 Tiitus Salokangas14:05 2:1 Lauri Eloluoto14:22 2:2 Nico Salo21:14 2:3 Viljami Virtanen24:16 3:3 Joona Hokkanen26:53 3:4 Eemeli Salin29:20 3:5 Konsta Tykkyläinen31:34 4:5 Eppu Suhanto58:33 4:6 Ville Hietaranta59:56 5:6 Markus Salmi Classic
Lead changes
1
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 Classic
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 14:22 2:2 Nico Salo (Classic) Classic's win chance 46% → 59%
  2. 24:16 3:3 Joona Hokkanen (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 28% → 42%
  3. 26:53 3:4 Eemeli Salin (Classic) Classic's win chance 58% → 72%

The line shows Oilers's chance to win (top) against Classic's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead2
1Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
31Games played31
76Points78
2.45Points per Game (PPG)2.52
24Wins24
5Losses3
2 OT/PS Wins 2
0 OT/PS Losses 2
8.26Goals per Game (GPG)8.23
4.35Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.58
3.90Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.65
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W W Last 5 games W W W W W
2.40Points per Game (PPG)2.80
4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)7.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.47Points per Game (PPG)2.27
4.53Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.67
60.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)62.50