Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 07 Mar 2026 789 spectators
Oilers Home
6:5
SPV Away
P1 2:3 P2 2:1 P3 2:1

Pre-game win probability

59% Oilers
vs
41% SPV

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Oilers 1728, SPV 1711) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 95% of this season's games
Oilers 05:02 0:1 Joona Kajaala06:00 1:1 Santeri Lindfors08:07 2:1 Jasper Auvinen11:24 2:2 Eemeli Karjanlahti18:22 2:3 Juho Repo32:43 3:3 Jasper Auvinen34:07 3:4 Konsta Haukkala36:37 4:4 Lauri Eloluoto49:58 5:4 Markus Salmi53:21 5:5 Janne Autio56:17 6:5 Markus Markkola SPV
Lead changes
3
Ties
5
Largest lead
1 Oilers
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 49:58 5:4 Markus Salmi (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 55% → 78%
  2. 53:21 5:5 Janne Autio (SPV) SPV's win chance 19% → 46%
  3. 56:17 6:5 Markus Markkola (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 54% → 85%

The line shows Oilers's chance to win (top) against SPV's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 33.33

Penalty kill efficiency

66.67 / 50.0

Penalties

3 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays3
1Power play goals1
3Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead3
3Equalizers2
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
30Games played29
73Points67
2.43Points per Game (PPG)2.31
23Wins21
5Losses6
2 OT/PS Wins 2
0 OT/PS Losses 0
8.33Goals per Game (GPG)6.66
4.33Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.03
4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.62
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W L W Last 5 games W L W W W
2.40Points per Game (PPG)2.40
5.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.43Points per Game (PPG)2.07
4.79Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.0
66.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
70.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)75.0