Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sun 05 Oct 2025 976 spectators
SPV Home
6:5
Hawks Away
P1 2:3 P2 2:1 P3 1:1 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

82% SPV
vs
18% Hawks

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (SPV 1656, Hawks 1441) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 89% of this season's games
SPV 01:45 0:1 Jasse Tuunanen04:31 1:1 Juuso Keskinen06:39 1:2 Rasmus Repo09:29 2:2 Riku Hakanen18:18 2:3 Jasse Tuunanen26:34 2:4 Joona Kuronen27:30 3:4 Miika Latvala28:43 4:4 Konsta Haukkala41:32 4:5 Aaro Pohjanmaa43:54 5:5 Juuso KeskinenOT 04:27 6:5 Eemeli Karjanlahti Hawks
Lead changes
1
Ties
4
Largest lead
2 Hawks
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 41:32 4:5 Aaro Pohjanmaa (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 28% → 48%
  2. 43:54 5:5 Juuso Keskinen (SPV) SPV's win chance 50% → 71%
  3. OT 04:27 6:5 Eemeli Karjanlahti (SPV) SPV's win chance 64% → 100%

The line shows SPV's chance to win (top) against Hawks's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead4
4Equalizers0
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
5Games played6
15Points5
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.83
5Wins1
0Losses3
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 2
7.40Goals per Game (GPG)4.50
4.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.17
3.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.67
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L L L L L
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.40
3.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.33
3.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.0
70.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
83.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)42.86