Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 17 Oct 2025 609 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 0:3 P3 1:3

Pre-game win probability

35% TPS
vs
65% SPV

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1440, SPV 1591) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 28% of this season's games
TPS 10:33 0:1 Eemeli Karjanlahti26:12 0:2 Konsta Haukkala27:48 0:3 Juuso Keskinen30:59 0:4 Juuso Keskinen44:48 0:5 Juuso Keskinen48:55 0:6 Aaro Tammiranta49:38 0:7 Eero Karjanlahti54:51 1:7 Kasper Kulmala SPV
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
7 SPV
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 10:33 0:1 Eemeli Karjanlahti (SPV) SPV's win chance 65% → 76%
  2. 26:12 0:2 Konsta Haukkala (SPV) SPV's win chance 76% → 85%
  3. 27:48 0:3 Juuso Keskinen (SPV) SPV's win chance 86% → 92%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against SPV's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 60.0

Penalty kill efficiency

40.0 / 100.0

Penalties

5 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays5
0Power play goals3
5Penalty kills1
3Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
52 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
5Games played8
5Points17
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.12
1Wins5
3Losses2
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
3.40Goals per Game (GPG)6.12
4.40Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.25
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.88
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.60
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W L L Last 5 games W W W L L
1.0Points per Game (PPG)1.60
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.25
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.25
16.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)14.29